EUROCONTROL Briefing on the impact of COVID19 on France

EUROCONTROL is producing a new series of briefings on the impact of COVID-19 on specific Member States. The briefing for France includes a specific country-level forecast, which shows that in the (most likely) Scenario 2, 2024 traffic in France is expected to achieve 95% of the 2019 level.

• Total flights lost since 1 March 2020: 1.2M flights
• Current flight status: 2,059 daily flights or -56% vs 2019 (7-day average)
• Traffic forecast: 45% of 2019 in 2021 & 71% in 2022
• GDP: +5.0% in 2021 & +4.6% in 2022 (vs. previous year)
• Vaccination: 16.3 per hundred people fully vaccinated
• Busiest airport: Paris CDG with 514 average daily flights (-64% vs. 2019)
• Busiest airline: Air France with 529 average daily flights (-57% vs. 2019)

2020/21 Traffic Evolution & 2021/24 Outlook

Traffic Composition

Vaccination Progress

Data Sources:

1 Period between 25-05 – 31-05/2021 (as compared to the same week in 2019, 28-05 – 03-06/2019).

2 EUROCONTROL STATFOR forecast (21 May 2021) Scenario No.2.

3 GDP growth assumptions used in STATFOR scenario No.2 forecast. Source: Oxford Economics, March 2021.

4 Number of people fully vaccinated on 29 May 2021.

Source: Our World in Data.